This Week19 Oct 2026
The changes. The places. The next field check.
- What this is
- What moved since last Monday's refresh: rain, soil, reservoirs, the drought manual, groundwater and El Niño.
- What it says now
- 7 headlines worse and 2 better since the previous refresh; 105 mandals have four or more stress signals.
- What to do with it
- Send field teams to the listed mandals and forward the one-page digest.
- 7worse
- 2better
- 2unchanged
- 0new
01 / Moved this week 9 headlines
Prototype briefing. Dated source readings and derived screening, not live telemetry or a drought declaration.
17 mandals read worse on the drought manual this week, 27 better
7 moved into severe. Worse readings are spread over 11 districts, no more than 2 in any one; better ones gather in Anakapalli (4), Bapatla (3) and Konaseema (3).
Mandal comparison: one week of rain earlier. Separate from the headline refresh above.
Readings that moved 44 mandalsView register
Readings that moved
Each mandal's manual reading now against the same reading one week of rain earlier- ▲RoluguntaAnakapalliTrigger 1 only → Moderate
- ▲AnakapalleAnakapalliModerate → Severe
- ▲RowthulapudiKakinadaTrigger 1 only → Normal or moderate
- ▲GandepalleKakinadaNormal or moderate → Moderate
- ▲KoyyalagudemEluruTrigger 1 only → Moderate
- ▲VissannapetNTRTrigger 1 only → Moderate
- ▲AgiripalleEluruTrigger 1 only → Moderate
- ▲ChallapalleKrishnaModerate → Severe
- ▲MopideviKrishnaModerate → Severe
- ▲PidugurallaPalnaduNo trigger → Moderate
- ▲Cherukupalle H/O ArumbakaBapatlaModerate → Severe
- ▲ChiralaBapatlaNormal or moderate → Moderate or severe
- ▲AnumasamudrampetaSri Potti Sriramulu NelloreNo trigger → Moderate or severe
- ▲ChennurY.S.R KadapaTrigger 1 only → Moderate
- ▲Jupadu BungalowNandyalModerate → Severe
- ▲KolimigundlaNandyalModerate → Severe
- ▲TanakalSri Sathya SaiModerate → Severe
- ▼IchchapuramSrikakulamModerate or severe → Normal or moderate
- ▼VajrapukothuruSrikakulamModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼SanthabommaliSrikakulamModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼NellimarlaVizianagaramSevere → Moderate
- ▼CheedikadaAnakapalliModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼SabbavaramAnakapalliModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼PedagantyadaVisakhapatnamModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼GajuwakaVisakhapatnamModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼ChodavaramAnakapalliModerate → Normal or moderate
- ▼MunagapakaAnakapalliSevere → Moderate
- ▼TuniKakinadaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼ThondangiKakinadaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼Rajahmundry RuralEast GodavariModerate → Normal or moderate
- ▼AtreyapuramKonaseemaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼KothapetaKonaseemaModerate or severe → Moderate
- ▼AinavilliKonaseemaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼TallapudiEast GodavariModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼PalacoderuWest GodavariModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼PoduruWest GodavariModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼NarasapuramWest GodavariModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼BapatlaBapatlaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼ParchurBapatlaModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼VetapalemBapatlaSevere → Moderate
- ▼SingarayakondaPrakasamModerate or severe → Normal or moderate
- ▼PakalaTirupatiModerate → Trigger 1 only
- ▼PenumuruChittoorModerate or severe → Moderate
- ▼YadamarriChittoorModerate → Trigger 1 only
03 / Held steady2 headlinesSame figure does not mean a new reading
Mandals where most signals point to water stress at once
Six published signals, each a stated test on a figure this site already shows. Where four or more agree, a visit can confirm or rule out stress quickly. A list for verification visits: not a ranking of need, an allocation or a declaration. The signals are not all independent: soil moisture is modelled from rain, and the crop check starts from the soil moisture.
- 1all six
- 225 of 6
- 824 of 6
| Mandal | Groundwater | Rain | Soil | Crop water | Vegetation | Extraction | Agree | What stands out | Field report |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1TanakalSri Sathya Sai | 6/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 37 · over-exploited (117% drawn) | Report | ||||||
| 2Yeddana PudiBapatla | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 0 | Report | ||||||
| 3GiddalurMarkapuram | 5/5 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 7 · semi-critical (85% drawn) | Report | ||||||
| 4SirvelNandyal | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 16 | Report | ||||||
| 5PodiliMarkapuram | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 18 | Report | ||||||
| 6IpurPalnadu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 18 | Report | ||||||
| 7DurgiPalnadu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 19 | Report | ||||||
| 8VemulaY.S.R Kadapa | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 20 · semi-critical (71% drawn) | Report | ||||||
| 9PidugurallaPalnadu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 27 | Report | ||||||
| 10EdlapaduPalnadu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 29 | Report | ||||||
| 11PhirangipuramGuntur | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 33 | Report | ||||||
| 12CumbumMarkapuram | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 34 · semi-critical (82% drawn) | Report | ||||||
| 13GootyAnanthapuramu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 36 | Report | ||||||
| 14RentachintalaPalnadu | 5/6 | 7 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 38 | Report | ||||||
| 15OrvakalKurnool | 5/6 | 6 of 7 crops short of water · vegetation index 13 | Report |
- Groundwater. Groundwater short of its own seasonal normal (measured wells)
- Rain. Gauge rain 20% or more below normal since 1 June (measured)
- Soil. Soil moisture among the driest quarter of years for the date (modelled)
- Crop water. Most field crops short of water now: 4 or more of the 7 reference crops at mid-season (FAO-56 check)
- Vegetation. Crop vegetation severely below normal, last four weeks (satellite, VCI under 40)
- Extraction. Groundwater semi-critical or worse in the official assessment (structural, yearly)
Filled: points to stress. Open: does not. Faint: no usable value. Crop water: soil moisture of 18 Oct 2026 and ECMWF’s forecast (19 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026), the seven reference crops taken at mid-season. Vegetation: NOAA VCI over cropland, 17 Sep 2026 to 14 Oct 2026. Extraction: CGWB / State GWD assessment 2025-2026. Check any of them crop by crop → Teams: write and share a field report →
Groundwater status that moved
Latest reading Sep 2026 → Sep 2026 · 1 worse, 3 better- ▲AtlurY.S.R KadapaStable → Watch
- ▼EluruEluruStress → Watch
- ▼EdlapaduPalnaduWatch → Stable
- ▼KavitiSrikakulamStress → Watch
Compared with the data the site was showing before this refresh (commit 33b8170, 19 Oct 2026). Built each Monday by the weekly refresh, after every source has been fetched and before anything is published. A feed that failed or looked mid-revision keeps last week’s figure, and its date above says so. Rain, soil and reservoirs: APWRIMS. Drought readings: this site’s reading of the national drought manual, not a declaration. Groundwater: APWRIMS monthly series. El Niño: NOAA CPC.