AP Water Intelligence
Andhra Pradesh Groundwater Assessment

Evidence & Release Readiness

What this is
Which sources are live, which are pending, and how fresh each one is.
What to do with it
Know which figures rest on this week's data and which on older snapshots.
Prototype. Prototype results do not replace official field measurements or APWRIMS outputs.
Published evidence / 2026-10-19

Coverage without false certainty.

Counts refer to this prototype geography, not a certified census of AP administrative units.

Export evidence pack
666Modelled unitsNowcast, not a field reading
3Measured-only unitsNo released nowcast
1Groundwater gapsNot classified as healthy
595/670Official mandal outlines75 still prototype
ModelledMeasured onlyGroundwater gap

Model targets span Jun 2026 to Sep 2026; 650 target the latest month. Only the three-month forecast is released beyond them.

RESEARCH SNAPSHOTReal source inputs. Not live telemetry.Baseline review pending. Seasonal flags are provisional.Groundwater through Sept 2026Sources, checks and release gates

Seasonal flags are provisional, not operational advisories. 78 source-series flags change with an unfiltered history baseline.

GROUNDWATERAPWRIMS monthly series

Sept 2026 observations. Retained research history; source-use authorization pending.

APWRIMS source
RAINFALLCHIRPS v3.0 estimates and AP gauges

06-09 / 2026 monthly satellite-and-gauge product, equal-weight mandal means, for the history since 1981. AP DES mandal gauges to 17 Oct 2026: −39.6% against the department's normal, area-weighted.

Publisher catalogue
PACIFIC CONTEXTNOAA ONI

JAS 2026: 2.16 °C. Three-month index, not a mandal forecast. Film and ocean maps have separate snapshot dates.

Current NOAA advisory
SOIL, STORAGE & CROPSPartly connected

Modelled soil moisture (NRSC, via APWRIMS) for 18 Oct 2026. Reservoir storage 44.5% of capacity at 19 Oct 2026, measured at the headworks. Not connected: crop, sown area, stage and canal delivery to fields. The crop-water lab uses reference coefficients and user-set assumptions.

NIC e-Panta context

Snapshot built 2026-10-19. Groundwater fetch receipt: 2026-10-19. Public portal check 2026-10-19: 3/3 sampled series matched. This does not verify every mandal.

Useful now

Briefings, historical comparison and selecting records for field verification. Groundwater flags are not crop-loss or drought declarations.

Baseline review required

Seasonal comparisons inherit model-history eligibility filters. 580 source-series comparisons change when unfiltered valid history is used. Departmental baseline approval and a versioned data/film refresh are required.

Operational release pending

Authorised feeds, official location IDs, validated thresholds, crop/supply joins, a named approving officer and an auditable action log. No allocation or farmer advisory is issued here.

Source ledger

Nine sources. Different clocks.

Valid period describes the data; fetch date describes the download. Neither is a live-feed guarantee.

APWRIMS-format historyRecorded depth / m bgl
Valid / reference periodSep 2026
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

669 history series in the published dataset. See the refresh receipt for scope. Authorization pending.

NASA / NDMC GRACE-DASatellite-model / percentile
Valid / reference periodValid period not supplied
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

Regional assimilated-model context, not measured depth. A recent download does not establish the raster's observation period.

CHIRPS v3 rainfallSatellite-gauge / mm
Valid / reference periodSep 2026
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

670 prototype polygons have climate context. Rainfall is not measured recharge or a well reading.

Valid / reference period2026-06-01 to 2026-10-17
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

3,532 gauges across 688 mandals, against the department's normal for the water year. Public dashboard data; source-use authorization pending.

NRSC soil moisture (via APWRIMS)Modelled / % of capacity
Valid / reference period2026-10-18
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

VIC land-surface model at 0.05°, 686 mandals at four depths, set against the same date since 2014. Rainfall-driven model, not a field probe.

Valid / reference period2026-10-19 18:38
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

114 major and medium reservoirs; 3 not reporting for 3+ days. Releases are measured at the headworks; the canal command-area map is not public.

NOAA STAR vegetation health (VCI)Satellite index / 0–100
Valid / reference periodweeks to about 2026-10-14
Recorded fetch2026-10-19

VIIRS, 4 km, weekly, against the record since 1981; read per mandal for the Drought Watch's remote-sensing indicator. All vegetation, not cropland alone: the drought manual prefers 56–500 m NDVI/NDWI from the State Remote Sensing Centre or MNCFC.

Valid / reference period2026-09-01 to 2026-09-09
Recorded fetch2026-10-03

1,746 stations; one recent reading per mandal beside our monthly series (its May value matches ours in 585 of 587). Mandal geography gives official outlines, LGD codes and constituencies. Pulled by a signed-in user, not by the weekly job. AWARE's own groundwater, dry spell, El Niño modules showed no advisories or alerts at the pull.

TerraClimateModelled climate / mm
Valid / reference period2025
Recorded fetchNot supplied

Annual reference context, not current telemetry. Rain minus actual ET excludes pumping and does not establish aquifer recharge.

Operational release gates

What must happen before official use.

No completion percentage: each gate needs its own evidence and acceptance.

01 / Authority

Authorized source access

Pending acceptance

Written source-use approval, a verified ingestion contract and retained refresh receipts. Public portal access alone does not confer operational authority.

02 / Identity

Official administrative crosswalk

Pending acceptance

Official boundary polygons, district and mandal identifiers, and resolution of ambiguous or unmatched source series.

03 / Validation

Approved methods & field checks

Pending acceptance

Independent field corroboration, cohort-specific error limits and approval of the seasonal baseline. Model performance is not a certification.

04 / Agriculture

Crop and supply evidence

Pending acceptance

Authorized e-Panta / APAIMS crop aggregates (APWRIMS already holds crop-sown and crop-stress dashboards behind a login), crop stage, irrigated area, and the canal command-area map with delivery records. Gauge rainfall, soil moisture and reservoir storage are connected as dated context. No crop-loss or allocation claims yet.

05 / Operations

Accountable review workflow

Pending acceptance

Named departmental reviewers, action records, escalation rules, security review and service monitoring before dispatch.

06 / Release

AWARE acceptance

Pending acceptance

Agreed schema, access controls, test environment, error handling and approval. Current payloads are unreleased drafts.